Monday

The Daily WAR (13-10)

Reading between the lines, and thinking outside the box . . .
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Watch Switzerland closely. It is tipping into deflation, the first Western country to succumb to Japan's disease.
    "This is something that we must prevent at all costs. The current situation is extraordinarily serious," said a governor of the Swiss National Bank.
    The SNB is not easily spooked. It is the world's benchmark bank, the keeper of the monetary flame.
    Yet even the SNB's hard men have thrown away the rule book, taking emergency action to force down the exchange rate of the Swiss franc.
    Here lies the danger. If other countries try to export deflation by this means, we will face a 2nd phase of the global crisis.
    "We don't fully realise in the West what a catastrophic collapse Japan has suffered," says the global strategist at Société Générale.
    Japan's industrial output fell 38% in February (year-on-year), mostly concentrated into the last 4 months. No major economy imploded at this speed in the 1930s.
    Remember, we have only just begun to see the mass lay-offs and hardship caused by this slump.
 
 
 

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